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Financial Investor 24Financial Investor 24
Home ยป Continuous Markets Risk Management Is Broken Before It Begins
continuous markets risk management
Finance

Continuous Markets Risk Management Is Broken Before It Begins

Edward SeftonBy Edward SeftonSeptember 19, 2026No Comments6 Mins Read
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Continuous markets risk management has a structural problem that nobody in the financial industry has fully solved yet, and the evidence is already live. Three separate asset classes are abandoning the daily close within months of each other, and the risk plumbing built around that close is being asked to keep running as if nothing has changed.

CME Group’s 24/7 cryptocurrency futures and options trading went live on 28 May 2026, according to the exchange’s own press release published the following day. (The DTCC press release was dated 29 May; FINRA’s confirmation cites 28 May as the go-live date, the DTCC and FINRA figures are used here as primary sources.) That is not a future event. It happened. The snippet’s framing of CME crypto futures as an “early 2026” plan is already out of date.

The context behind that launch matters. Yahoo Finance reported that CME’s crypto derivatives averaged 407,200 contracts per day year-to-date in 2026, up 46% year-over-year, with notional volume across crypto derivatives reaching $3 trillion across the full year 2025. That demand is exactly what forced the move.

CME Group’s Global Head of Equities, FX and Alternative Products, Tim McCourt, said at launch: ‘By offering continuous liquidity over the weekend, we are meeting client demand and bridging the gap between traditional regulated venues and the 24/7 nature of crypto assets.’ CME introduced its first Bitcoin futures in 2017; the 24/7 launch is the logical endpoint of that trajectory.

What Removing the Close Actually Breaks

Value-at-Risk (VaR, the standard measure of how much a portfolio could plausibly lose in a given period) is conventionally a one-day figure: how much could be lost between one close and the next. Regulatory capital charges scale that daily number up to a ten-day window. Margin resets against the closing price. Overnight swap is priced for a defined, tradeless overnight. Settlement is counted in days because a day is the smallest unit the plumbing was built around.

Remove the close and none of those numbers vanish. They just stop measuring anything real.

Gold shows where the fracture appears first. Vantage’s XAUUSD247 replaced the traditional overnight swap with a funding rate recalculated every four hours, because “overnight” no longer exists as a defined window. That is an engineering admission, not a user-experience update. STARTRADER’s own XAUUSD247 on MT5, launched weeks later, has not published an equivalent mechanism, which tells you that even brokers competing hard on access are not necessarily solving the financing question the same way.

CME handled part of this problem at the exchange level when it first announced the plan in October 2025: trades executed on weekends or holidays carry a trade date of the following business day, with clearing, settlement and regulatory reporting processed on that same following day. It is a practical fix, but it is essentially assigning a notional “day” to trades that happened outside one. The measurement unit survives by convention rather than by mechanics.

What Continuous Markets Risk Management Actually Requires

Equities face the same problem at a larger scale. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved Nasdaq’s 23-hour trading proposal on 10 April 2026, under SEC Release No. 34-105199. The structure splits trading into a Day Session from 4:00 AM to 8:00 PM ET and a Night Session from 9:00 PM to 4:00 AM ET, with a one-hour technical pause between 8:00 PM and 9:00 PM for system maintenance, corporate action processing, and trade-date rollover. Nasdaq’s targeted launch date is 6 December 2026. NYSE Arca received SEC approval for a 22-hour window as far back as 11 February 2025, under SEC Release No. 34-102400.

The clearing infrastructure moved first, deliberately. The DTCC’s National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC) extended to a 24×5 clearing model on 28 June 2026, months before the exchanges it serves will reach the same hours. According to DTCC data, 100% of participating firms completed testing before go-live, and 72% cited global demand as the primary driver. The sequencing was intentional: you cannot lengthen the front of the pipe without rebuilding the back first.

Even so, the Federal Register order approving the NSCC rule change states plainly that NSCC committed to filing additional proposed rule changes to address “additional risks presented by overnight trading” before exchanges go live with 24×5 sessions. The regulator knows the risk architecture is not finished. That acknowledgement is in writing.

FINRA is aligning its own Trade Reporting Facilities to 23×5 operation from 6 December 2026, the same date Nasdaq targets for its extended session, with a one-hour technical pause each weeknight at 8:00 PM ET mirroring the exchange design.

Crypto did not solve this problem first. Crypto never had a daily close, so it never had to retrofit one out of its systems. Perpetual futures settle funding every few hours by design, not because anyone rebuilt a daily mechanism into a rolling one. A broker adding 24/7 access to an existing gold or equities book is doing something entirely different: translating a system built in daily snapshots into a language it was never designed to speak, usually under competitive pressure, usually on a live book.

Automated liquidation thresholds are not the answer either. Crypto’s long history of cascade liquidations, where one automated close triggers the price move that forces the next, shows precisely what happens when the human is removed from the decision at the moments that most require judgement. A threshold cannot distinguish between a position that should be closed and a temporary gap in weekend liquidity that would have recovered in ten minutes.

The question brokers, ISA platform operators and retail investors using leveraged products need to be asking is straightforward: has the daily-anchored number (VaR, margin threshold, exposure limit) been replaced with a rolling equivalent, and is a person still reading that number in real time? If the answer to either part is no, the risk desk is still measuring a market that never closes against a line that is no longer there. The Nasdaq session goes live on 6 December 2026. That is the practical deadline for getting the answer right.

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Edward Sefton

Edward Sefton spent eighteen years in asset management before he started writing about markets. He began on the graduate scheme at a large UK fund house, moved to the multi-asset desk, and spent the bulk of his career running balanced mandates for pension schemes and charities. He left after the third reorganisation in five years and started filing copy because the industry needed fewer product launches and more honest commentary. He writes about fund performance, asset allocation, pensions, and the gap between what the marketing deck says and what the factsheet shows. He has sat through enough quarterly reviews to know when a fund manager is explaining alpha and when they are explaining luck. Edward lives in Hampshire. He reads the IA sector averages before breakfast and considers most investment commentary to be hindsight with a Bloomberg terminal.

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Continuous Markets Risk Management Is Broken Before It Begins

By Edward SeftonSeptember 19, 2026

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